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The climate system is a complex, interactive system consisting
of the atmosphere, land surface, snow and ice, oceans and
other bodies of water, and living things. The atmospheric
component of the climate system most obviously characterises
climate; climate is often defined as ‘average weather’. Climate
is usually described in terms of the mean and variability
of temperature, precipitation and wind over a period of time,
ranging from months to millions of years (the classical period
is 30 years). The climate system evolves in time under the
influence of its own internal dynamics and due to changes
in external factors that affect climate (called ‘forcings’).
External forcings include natural phenomena such as volcanic
eruptions and solar variations, as well as human-induced changes
in atmospheric composition. Solar radiation powers the climate
system. There are three fundamental ways to change the radiation
balance of the Earth: 1) by changing the incoming solar radiation
(e.g., by changes in Earth’s orbit or in the Sun itself);
2) by changing the fraction of solar radiation that is reflected
(called ‘albedo’; e.g., by changes in
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cloud cover, atmospheric
particles or vegetation); and 3) by altering the longwave
radiation from Earth back towards space (e.g., by changing
greenhouse gas concentrations). Climate, in turn, responds
directly to such changes, as well as indirectly, through a
variety of feedback mechanisms.
The amount of energy reaching the top
of Earth’s atmosphere each second on a surface area of one square metre
facing the Sun during daytime is about 1,370 Watts, and the amount of
energy per square metre per second averaged over the entire planet
is one-quarter of this (see Figure 1). About 30% of the sunlight
that reaches the top of the atmosphere is reflected back to
space. Roughly two-thirds of this reflectivity is due to clouds
and small particles in the atmosphere known as ‘aerosols’.
Light-coloured areas of Earth’s surface – mainly snow, ice and deserts – reflect
the remaining one-third of the sunlight. The most dramatic
change in aerosol-produced reflectivity comes when major volcanic
eruptions eject material very high into the atmosphere. Rain typically clears
aerosols out of the atmosphere in a week or two, but when
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material from a violent volcanic eruption is projected
far above the highest cloud, these aerosols typically influence
the climate for about a year or two before falling into the
troposphere and being carried to the surface by precipitation.
Major volcanic eruptions can thus cause a drop in mean global
surface temperature of about half a degree celsius that can
last for months or even years. Some man-made aerosols also significantly
reflect sunlight.
The energy that is not reflected back to space is absorbed
by the Earth’s surface and atmosphere. This amount is approximately
240 Watts per square metre (W m–2). To balance the incoming
energy, the Earth itself must radiate, on average, the same
amount of energy back to space. The Earth does this by emitting
outgoing longwave radiation. Everything on Earth emits longwave
radiation continuously. That is the heat energy one feels radiating
out from a fire; the warmer an object, the more heat energy
it radiates. To emit 240 W m–2, a surface would have to have
a temperature of around −19°C. This is much colder than the
conditions that actually exist at the Earth’s surface (the global
mean surface temperature is about 14°C). Instead, the necessary
−19°C is found at an altitude about 5 km above the surface.
The reason the Earth’s surface is this warm is the presence
of greenhouse gases, which act as a partial blanket for the
longwave radiation coming from the surface. This blanketing
is known as the natural greenhouse effect. The most important
greenhouse gases are water vapour and carbon dioxide. The two
most abundant constituents of the atmosphere – nitrogen and
oxygen – have no such effect. Clouds, on the other hand, do
exert a blanketing effect similar to that of the greenhouse
gases; however, this effect is offset by their reflectivity,
such that on average, clouds tend to have a cooling effect on
climate (although locally one can feel the warming effect: cloudy
nights tend to remain warmer than clear nights because the clouds
radiate longwave energy back down to the surface). Human activities
intensify the blanketing effect through the release of greenhouse
gases. For instance, the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere
has increased by about 35% in the industrial era, and this increase
is known to be due to human activities, primarily the combustion
of fossil fuels and removal of forests. Thus, humankind has
dramatically altered the chemical composition of the global
atmosphere with substantial implications for climate.
Because the Earth is a sphere, more solar energy arrives for
a given surface area in the tropics than at higher latitudes,
where
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sunlight strikes the atmosphere at a lower angle. Energy
is transported from the equatorial areas to higher latitudes
via atmospheric and oceanic circulations, including storm systems.
Energy is also required to evaporate water from the sea or land
surface, and this energy, called latent heat, is released when
water vapour condenses in clouds (see Figure 1). Atmospheric
circulation is primarily driven by the release of this latent
heat. Atmospheric circulation in turn drives much of the ocean
circulation through the action of winds on the surface waters
of the ocean, and through changes in the ocean’s surface temperature
and salinity through precipitation and evaporation.
Due to the rotation of the Earth, the atmospheric circulation
patterns tend to be more east-west than north-south. Embedded
in the mid-latitude westerly winds are large-scale weather
systems that act to transport heat toward the poles. These
weather systems are the familiar migrating low- and high-pressure systems
and their associated cold and warm fronts. Because of land-ocean
temperature contrasts and obstacles such as mountain ranges
and ice sheets, the circulation system’s planetary-scale atmospheric
waves tend to be geographically anchored by continents and
mountains although their amplitude can change with time. Because
of the wave patterns, a particularly cold winter over North
America may be associated with a particularly warm winter elsewhere
in the hemisphere. Changes in various aspects of the climate
system, such as the size of ice sheets, the type and distribution
of vegetation or the temperature of the atmosphere or ocean
will influence the large-scale circulation features of the
atmosphere and oceans.
There are many feedback mechanisms in the climate system that
can either amplify (‘positive feedback’) or diminish (‘negative
feedback’) the effects of a change in climate forcing. For
example, as rising concentrations of greenhouse gases warm Earth’s climate,
snow and ice begin to melt. This melting reveals darker land
and water surfaces that were beneath the snow and ice, and
these darker surfaces absorb more of the Sun’s heat, causing more
warming, which causes more melting, and so on, in a self-reinforcing
cycle. This feedback loop, known as the ‘ice-albedo feedback’,
amplifies the initial warming caused by rising levels of greenhouse
gases. Detecting, understanding and accurately quantifying
climate feedbacks have been the focus of a great deal of research by
scientists unravelling the complexities of Earth’s climate.
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